Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.021716 0.023332 0.025015 0.026900 0.028955 0.031130 0.033609
2024-10-20 0.018639 0.020908 0.023394 0.026327 0.029704 0.033482 0.038047
2024-10-27 0.017022 0.019728 0.022808 0.026593 0.031141 0.036461 0.043198
2024-11-03 0.015697 0.018672 0.022165 0.026600 0.032121 0.038821 0.047648
2024-11-10 0.014808 0.018013 0.021879 0.026929 0.033413 0.041544 0.052646
2024-11-17 0.013782 0.017085 0.021159 0.026611 0.033801 0.043077 0.056145
2024-11-24 0.012992 0.016382 0.020650 0.026491 0.034384 0.044839 0.060007
2024-12-01 0.012205 0.015624 0.020008 0.026126 0.034579 0.046047 0.063135
2024-12-08 0.011671 0.015156 0.019706 0.026178 0.035314 0.048002 0.067414
2024-12-15 0.011045 0.014529 0.019146 0.025828 0.035442 0.049080 0.070452
2024-12-22 0.010423 0.013870 0.018504 0.025314 0.035288 0.049714 0.072832
2024-12-29 0.009950 0.013390 0.018079 0.025077 0.035505 0.050881 0.076079
2025-01-05 0.009497 0.012921 0.017651 0.024818 0.035680 0.052007 0.079361
2025-01-12 0.008986 0.012346 0.017044 0.024258 0.035365 0.052351 0.081395
2025-01-19 0.008748 0.012152 0.016973 0.024491 0.036266 0.054633 0.086773
2025-01-26 0.008463 0.011873 0.016764 0.024496 0.036803 0.056354 0.091312
2025-02-02 0.008278 0.011732 0.016749 0.024793 0.037814 0.058891 0.097442
2025-02-09 0.007950 0.011364 0.016374 0.024505 0.037852 0.059809 0.100754
2025-02-16 0.007689 0.011085 0.016122 0.024396 0.038173 0.061212 0.105033
2025-02-23 0.007389 0.010734 0.015744 0.024065 0.038099 0.061924 0.108069
2025-03-02 0.007198 0.010543 0.015605 0.024112 0.038664 0.063774 0.113386
2025-03-09 0.006932 0.010226 0.015255 0.023794 0.038579 0.064457 0.116488
2025-03-16 0.006647 0.009870 0.014829 0.023328 0.038209 0.064597 0.118517